AHP法在舰空导弹作战通道分析中的应用

层次分析法(AHP)是一种简便、灵活而又实用的多准则决策的系统分析方法。运用该分析方法对舰空导弹武器各作战通道的性能进行综合分析,其中在对决策矩阵进行计算时,使用了三种不同的效用函数对方案层的各项指标进行了量化,最后得出了各作战通道的综合价值,此值可为指挥员决策提供参考。计算结果表明该方法用于作战通道评价是切实可行的。     

Ambulance location for maximum survival

This article proposes new location models for emergency medical service stations. The models are generated by incorporating a survival function into existing covering models. A survival function is a monotonically decreasing function of the response time of an emergency medical service (EMS) vehicle to a patient that returns the probability of survival for the patient. The survival function allows for the calculation of tangible outcome measures—the expected number of survivors in case of cardiac arrests. The survival‐maximizing location models are better suited for EMS location than the covering models which do not adequately differentiate between consequences of different response times. We demonstrate empirically the superiority of the survival‐maximizing models using data from the Edmonton EMS system. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

基于ARX模型和改进蚁群算法的齿轮箱故障诊断

为了提高齿轮箱故障诊断的精度，提出基于ARX模型的齿轮箱建模新方法，从系统固有特性的角度来分析齿轮箱的状态，使用最大最小蚁群算法对反映齿轮箱多变量传递特性的多个特征参量进行特征选择并使用这些特征进行故障诊断。结果表明，该方法既能够有效提高故障诊断的效率和精度，又能有效降低输入条件和负载出现波动对识别结果的影响。     

一种新的基本概率函数构建方法及应用

针对Dempster-Shafer(D-S)证据推理中基本概率赋值函数的构造问题,基于模糊聚类分析给出了一种新的构建方法.将它应用到雷达目标识别的仿真实验中,并与灰关联法相比较,结果表明该方法切实可行,不仅提高了基本概率赋值的准确性和稳定性,而且利用了数据的结构信息,有效缓解了证据的冲突.     

Bernoulli抵消策略的负顾客的M/G/1排队系统

负顾客的排队模型是排队论近年来的新兴分支。文中引入了带有B ernou lli抵消策略的负顾客的M/G/1排队模型,即到达的负顾客以概率p抵消队首正在接受服务的正顾客,以1-p的概率抵消队尾的正顾客,利用补充变量法,状态转移法和L变换,最后得到系统稳态队长的概率母函数。     

基于截断函数的有限时间滑模控制方法

针对一类二阶不确定非线性系统的鲁棒控制问题,提出一种基于截断函数的有限时间滑模控制算法。该算法具有以下特点:系统状态可在期望的有限时刻收敛为零;受控系统对外部扰动和参数不确定性具有全局鲁棒特性;系统状态的动态响应可解析预测;通过选择不同的截断函数可以实现对控制器性能的调节。仿真结果验证了所提算法的有效性。     

红外与可见光图像融合算法性能评估

在研究小波分析的基础上,鉴于不同小波函数和融合规则对融合效果的影响,通过改变小波函数和融合规则对红外与可见光图像进行大量融合实验;首先,研究了不同类型小波函数的性质,分析了不同融合算法的特点;接着,对融合实验结果进行了定量分析和比较,为不同应用目的和场合正确选择合适的小波函数和融合规则进行红外和可见光图像融合提供了理论依据.     

石河子气温变化趋势特点的奇异谱分析

本文采用1961—2001年石河子地区的气象资料，利用奇异谱分析的方法，分析了40a来气温变化，结果表明，石河子的气温变化具有4个明显的变化周期，分别为33—34年，11—12年，8—9年，3—4年；利用噪声驱动阻尼振子模型对得到的时间周期做了初步的分析，并利用拟合函数集对石河子气温给出了对应的函数变化关系。利用该方法可以对气温的变化特征有一个明晰的物理理解，也可以为将来的气温变化趋势的预测给出一定的借鉴作用。     

Threshold optimization for weighted voting classifiers

Weighted voting classifiers considered in this paper consist of N units each providing individual classification decisions. The entire system output is based on tallying the weighted votes for each decision and choosing the one which has total support weight exceeding a certain threshold. Each individual unit may abstain from voting. The entire system may also abstain from voting if no decision support weight exceeds the threshold. Existing methods of evaluating the reliability of weighted voting systems can be applied to limited special cases of these systems and impose some restrictions on their parameters. In this paper a universal generating function method is suggested which allows the reliability of weighted voting classifiers to be exactly evaluated without imposing constraints on unit weights. Based on this method, the classifier reliability is determined as a function of a threshold factor, and a procedure is suggested for finding the threshold which minimizes the cost of damage caused by classifier failures (misclassification and abstention may have different price.) Dynamic and static threshold voting rules are considered and compared. A method of analyzing the influence of units' availability on the entire classifier reliability is suggested, and illustrative examples are presented. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 50: 322–344, 2003.     

What you should know about simulation and derivatives

Derivatives (or gradients) are important for both sensitivity analysis and optimization, and in simulation models, these can often be estimated efficiently using various methods other than brute‐force finite differences. This article briefly summarizes the main approaches and discusses areas in which the approaches can most fruitfully be applied: queueing, inventory, and finance. In finance, the focus is on derivatives of another sort. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008